Black swan
Self-confessed sceptic Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s bestseller The Black Swan ridicules the idea of predicting the future. Instead, he argues that the world is dominated by the impact of rare, unforeseen, random, highly improbable and yet influential events. These Black Swans, he says, happen abruptly, coming from outside the range of our vision.
Continue reading… “Testing the black swan theory”
According to Taleb the future will not be cool.
What will your future surroundings look like in five, 10 or 25 years. Your imagination will probably see new things in it, things we call innovation, improvements, and killer technologies. These common concepts concerning innovation, we will see, are not just offensive aesthetically, but they are nonsense both empirically and philosophically.
Continue reading… “Nassim Nicholas Taleb tells us why futurists get it wrong”
By delving into the futuring techniques of Futurist Thomas Frey, you’ll embark on an enlightening journey.
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