Impact Lab – A Laboratory of the Future Human Experience

future predictions, future report, future scenario, future tech

Truth Fatigue: Looking Back from 2035 at the Big Lies We Believed in 2025

February 20, 2026

By Futurist Thomas Frey

When We Stopped Caring What Was Real

By 2035, historians will mark 2025 as the year society collectively hit the wall—the moment when truth became so expensive to verify and lies became so cheap to produce that people simply gave up trying to tell them apart.

They’ll call it “Truth Fatigue”: that weary collective sigh when endless debunkings, deepfake floods, and contradictory “facts” left people too drained to care about what’s real anymore. It wasn’t just information overload. It was the exhaustion of constantly re-verifying reality in a world where seeing wasn’t believing, and every institution had skin in the game of narrative control.

Looking back from 2035, with AI-driven verification, massive-scale data cross-referencing, and real-time simulation having stripped away many comforting narratives, certain lies will stand out as particularly egregious—not because they were uniquely deceptive, but because AI exposed them so decisively.

Here are the big lies of 2025 that shaped the decade of exhaustion that followed.

future predictions, future report, future scenario, future tech

The Question Nobody Wants to Ask: Will Robots Do a Better Job Raising Our Kids Than We Do?

February 19, 2026

By Futurist Thomas Frey

The Uncomfortable Thought Experiment

Could a robot actually raise your child better than you can?

Not “help with childcare”—raise. The full spectrum of emotional support, behavioral guidance, education, and attachment that shapes a human being.

Your gut says “absolutely not.” But consider: A robot never gets tired. Never loses patience. Never scrolls through their phone while your toddler plays. Provides perfectly calibrated educational content customized to your child’s learning style. Monitors health continuously. Stays current on child development research.

And costs a fraction of a human nanny—$2,500 for hardware versus $30,000-$45,000 annually.

So: For mechanical childcare—feeding, safety, education, routine maintenance—could robots do it better? And if they handle the mechanical parts, what does that mean for the parts they can’t?

future predictions, future report, future scenario, future tech

The End of “Too Late to Change”: How AI Turned Course Correction Into a Business Strategy

February 18, 2026

By Futurist Thomas Frey

The New Speed of Wrong

Here’s a scenario that used to terrify business leaders: You launch a product, invest months in development, commit millions to manufacturing—and then discover six months in that customers hate a core feature. By the time you realize the problem, you’ve burned through budgets, missed the window, and competitors have won.

That was the old cost of being wrong.

But something fundamental changed in 2024-2025. Course correction accelerated from desperate reaction to core business capability. Companies aren’t just getting better at changing course. They’re building entire business models around the assumption that they will.

AI didn’t just make this possible. It made it inevitable.

future predictions, future report, future scenario, future tech

When Brilliant Plans Meet Messy Reality: What “Solve Everything” Gets Right and Wrong About Our AI Future

February 18, 2026

By Futurist Thomas Frey

The Blueprint That Promises Everything

Peter Diamandis and Alexander Wissner-Gross just released “Solve Everything: Achieving Abundance by 2035″—a comprehensive blueprint for using AI to systematically solve nearly every major human challenge within a decade. Their central thesis: superintelligence is no longer a question of “if” but of “where we point it.”

They introduce frameworks like the “Industrial Intelligence Stack” for converting real-world problems into solvable systems. They outline 15 ambitious “Moonshots” from organ abundance to clean energy to orbital debris removal.

I’m a fan of both authors. The framework represents sophisticated thinking about AI’s potential. But when people get involved, even brilliant plans go sideways. Technology deploys into human systems filled with politics, incentives, and messy realities that resist elegant frameworks.

Let me take this vision seriously while examining it from the human perspective the blueprint sometimes overlooks.

future predictions, future report, future scenario, future tech

Hollywood’s Quiet Revolution: How AI Is Reinventing Movies Faster Than Anyone Realizes

February 17, 2026

By Futurist Thomas Frey

The Shift Nobody’s Watching

While the world debates whether AI will replace jobs or create new ones, Hollywood is already living through the answer. The transformation isn’t happening in some distant future—it’s underway right now, accelerating quietly behind studio gates and in indie production houses across the country.

The change isn’t a sudden “AI takes over” moment. It’s a gradual but relentless shift from AI as a helpful tool to AI as a core production partner that’s fundamentally rewriting how movies are made, who makes them, and what we’ll be watching by 2030.

Here’s what most people miss: the revolution isn’t coming. It’s already here. It’s just unevenly distributed across the industry, and the implications are more profound than most realize.

future predictions, future report, future scenario, future tech

Rethinking the Office: Why Driverless Mobile Offices Will Become Popular in 2030

February 16, 2026

By Futurist Thomas Frey

The Commute That Became the Office

Here’s a thought experiment: What if your morning commute wasn’t wasted time but productive work time? Not checking emails on your phone while stuck in traffic, but actual, focused work in a space designed for productivity. A conference room that picks you up, lets you work while moving through changing scenery, drops you at a client meeting, then continues to your next appointment. Your office, but mobile. Your commute, but productive.

This isn’t a distant fantasy. It’s the inevitable result of autonomous vehicles maturing from transportation tools into mobile workspaces. And it’s going to fundamentally reshape how we think about offices, commutes, real estate, and the entire geography of work.

The moment someone unveils a properly designed driverless mobile office, the traditional office lease starts looking like an expensive anachronism. Why pay for a fixed location when your workspace can follow your schedule, adapt to your needs, and turn dead commute time into your most productive hours?

We’re not just talking about working from your autonomous car. We’re talking about purpose-built mobile offices, consulting suites, medical clinics, training centers, and collaborative workspaces that happen to have wheels. The office isn’t going remote—it’s going mobile. And the implications are far more profound than most people realize.

future predictions, future report, future scenario, future tech

The Crime-Free Future Nobody Wants: What Happens When Privacy Becomes Technologically Impossible

February 14, 2026

By Futurist Thomas Frey

The World Where Criminals Can’t Hide

Imagine this scenario: A crime is committed. Within minutes, AI systems have already reconstructed what happened from seventeen different camera angles. The victim’s smartwatch recorded the attack. Their phone’s accelerometer captured the fall. Dashcams from passing cars documented the perpetrator’s arrival and escape. Facial recognition tracked their journey home. DNA databases connected the physical evidence before investigators even arrive at the scene.

The entire crime is solved before the investigation begins.

This isn’t science fiction set decades in the future. The technology exists today. We’re simply negotiating how much of it we’re willing to deploy and how tightly we’re willing to integrate it. Every smartphone is a recording device. Every doorbell can be a camera. Every transaction leaves a digital trail. Every movement can be tracked. The infrastructure for total surveillance is already being built, one Ring doorbell and Tesla dashcam at a time.

What happens when that infrastructure becomes complete? When every surface has cameras, every device records, every transaction is logged, and AI systems weave it all into a seamless, searchable record of human activity?

The answer is both seductive and terrifying: crime becomes functionally impossible. And we need to think very carefully about whether that’s actually what we want.

future predictions, future report, future scenario, future tech

Eight Career Paths Where 22-Year-Olds Can Outperform College Graduates—Without the Debt

February 14, 2026

By Futurist Thomas Frey

The Four-Year Detour Nobody Talks About

If you’re turning 16 this year, you’ve been hearing the same script your entire life: graduate high school, go to college, get a degree, start a career. Four years of lectures, $100,000+ in debt, and a diploma that might land you an entry-level job in a field that didn’t exist when you started.

Here’s what nobody’s telling you: that pathway is breaking. Fast.

The average college graduate carries $30,000 in debt and takes 20 years to pay it off. Meanwhile, skilled tradespeople are earning six figures by age 25. Remote workers are building global careers from their bedrooms. Creators are monetizing audiences of thousands. Technical specialists are commanding premium rates without ever sitting through a lecture on Shakespeare.

I’m not anti-education. I’m anti-wasting four years and a mortgage payment on credentials that are rapidly losing value. The world is rewarding skills, adaptability, and entrepreneurial thinking — none of which require a university to validate.

If you’re 16 right now, you have something previous generations didn’t: time to build real-world experience while your peers are filling out college applications. By the time they’re graduating with debt and entry-level prospects, you could have four years of income, a portfolio of work, an established reputation, and skills that actually matter in the market.

Here are eight career paths that are wide open, don’t require a degree, offer serious flexibility, and position you for a future that’s coming faster than most people realize.

future predictions, future report, future scenario, future tech

The Privacy Crisis Nobody Sees Coming: Why Your Thoughts Are the Next Data Goldmine

February 12, 2026

By Futurist Thomas Frey

The Most Intimate Data You Never Consented to Share

Here’s a scenario that should terrify you: you’re wearing your fitness watch, scrolling through social media on your phone, maybe using VR goggles for a quick gaming session. Nothing unusual. Except every one of those devices is quietly collecting data about your brain activity, emotional state, stress levels, attention patterns, and cognitive load. And you have no idea it’s happening.

Welcome to the neural data revolution — the next frontier in privacy invasion that makes Facebook’s data collection look quaint by comparison.

We’re not talking about distant science fiction. Major tech companies are already embedding neural sensors into everyday devices. Meta’s AI glasses use electromyography sensors. Apple’s Vision Pro integrates eye-tracking with biometric sensors. Apple has patented EEG-enabled AirPods. Your smartwatch monitors heart rate variability that reveals your emotional states. Your fitness tracker knows when you’re stressed before you do.

The neurotechnology market is exploding — from $9.8 billion in 2022 to a projected $17.1 billion in 2026. Over one in five Americans already wear devices that continuously monitor physiological signals that can infer mental states. And almost none of them understand what they’ve consented to.

future predictions, future report, future scenario, future tech

The Course Creation Bottleneck: How One Company Could Unlock $8.5 Trillion in Human Potential

February 12, 2026

By Futurist Thomas Frey

The Constraint Nobody Sees

Here’s a number that should bother you: it takes between 49 and 267 hours to create one hour of quality training content.

Read that again. To produce a single hour of learning material that actually changes behavior and builds competency, organizations spend anywhere from a week to more than six weeks of human labor. The range itself tells you how broken the process is — we don’t even have predictability around how inefficient we are.

And here’s the kicker: only 12% of that painstakingly created content actually gets applied on the job.

This is the most expensive, least discussed bottleneck in the modern economy. We’re spending over $400 billion annually on corporate training, and 88% of it evaporates. The World Economic Forum estimates that 120 million workers need reskilling by 2030, yet we can’t train even a fraction of that number using current methods.

The problem isn’t that we lack information. The problem is that transforming information into learning experiences — the kind that stick, that change behavior, that build actual capability — remains desperately scarce and expensive.

I’ve been saying for years that by 2030, the largest company on the internet will be an education-based company we haven’t heard of yet. After looking at what Cogniate is building, I think they might be it.

future predictions, future report, future scenario, future tech

Sorry, Conspiracy Theorists: Your Alien Neighbors Would Look Nothing Like You

February 11, 2026

By Futurist Thomas Frey

The Most Popular Bad Idea in Human History

Let’s talk about aliens walking among us.

You’ve seen the posts. You’ve heard the theories. A suspiciously calm coworker who never seems cold. A celebrity who hasn’t aged since 1987. A politician giving a press conference who blinks at slightly the wrong frequency. The internet has decided: aliens are here, they look just like us, and they’re hiding in plain sight.

I hate to be the one to break this to you.

But if a person were born on another planet — any other planet, literally anywhere else in the universe — the chances of them looking like you are so vanishingly small that “practically zero” is being generous. We’re talking about odds that make winning the lottery while being struck by lightning while finding a parking spot in Manhattan look like a sure thing.

Let me explain why, and I promise it’ll ruin every alien conspiracy theory you’ve ever enjoyed.

future predictions, future report, future scenario, future tech

When Seeing Is No Longer Believing: How Justice Survives the Deepfake Era

February 10, 2026

By Futurist Thomas Frey

The Courtroom That Changed Everything

Imagine it’s 2031. A prosecutor stands before a jury and plays a video. It shows a man — clear as daylight, full color, perfect audio — confessing to a crime he says he never committed. His lawyer stands up and says four words that have become the most powerful legal phrase of the decade:

“That could be fake.”

And here’s the problem: she’s right. It could be. The jury knows it. The judge knows it. The prosecutor knows it.

So does everyone watching.

The video is thrown out. Not because it was proven false — but because it couldn’t be proven true. And in a world where synthetic media has become indistinguishable from reality, courts in a dozen countries have quietly reached the same conclusion: video and audio evidence, once the gold standard of courtroom proof, can no longer be trusted.

This isn’t science fiction. It’s the logical endpoint of a technology curve we’re already on. And it forces one of the most important questions of the coming decade:

When seeing is no longer believing, how do truth, trust, and justice survive?