10 Prop Bets on the Future: Would You Wager on These by 2040?

By Futurist Thomas Frey

The Best Way to Test What You Really Believe

Anyone can say they believe something will happen. But put money on it? Now you’re serious.

Prop bets started in sports. Instead of just picking who wins the game, you bet on specific things that happen inside the game. Will the first score be a touchdown or a field goal? Will the quarterback throw for more than 300 yards? These side bets make you think harder and commit to specifics.

So here’s my challenge: I’ve put together 10 prop bets on future technology. Each one is a specific outcome with a specific deadline—somewhere between 2030 and 2040. Some feel like sure things. Some feel far-fetched. All of them are more possible than most people realize.

Read through them. Decide which ones you’d bet on. The bets you’re willing to make reveal what you actually believe about where the world is going.

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