Probability of Singularity in Question

Exponential-vs-Logistical-Growth

There is a hypothesis by Theodore Modis, that we can expect the rate of technological progress to begin slowing soon, because contrary to Ray Kurzweil, and ilk, technological progress is not exponential, it is logistical.

Modis argues that the exponential growth in technology is a fallacy and that the true nature of the growth is logistic.

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