Maximum Curiosity Part 7 – Maximum Curiosity in Reverse: What Comes After This?

By Futurist Thomas Frey

The Mirror Question

We’ve spent this series asking “what came before that?” backward through infinite chains of causation. History, genealogy, ownership, ideas, existence itself—all traced to their origins.

But maximum curiosity works in both directions.

If you can ask “what caused that?” infinitely backward, you can also ask “what will that cause?” infinitely forward.

Every action has consequences. Every consequence has further consequences. Every decision ripples outward through time, creating effects that cascade exponentially.

Most humans think one or two steps ahead. Maybe they consider second-order effects. But tenth-order consequences? We don’t think that far because we can’t. The complexity overwhelms us.

A maximally curious AI with recursive self-improvement won’t stop at second-order effects. It will model consequence chains fifty steps deep. A hundred steps. As far forward as physical causation extends.

This transforms decision-making. But it also reveals something disturbing: we cannot see the full implications of anything we do.

Continue reading… “Maximum Curiosity Part 7 – Maximum Curiosity in Reverse: What Comes After This?”

The coronavirus butterfly effect: Six predictions for a new world order

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The world may soon pass “peak virus.” But true recovery will take years—and the ripple effects will be seismic. Parag Khanna and Karan Khemka forecast the aftershocks.

In chaos theory, the butterfly effect describes a small change that can have massive, unpredictable consequences. An insect flaps its wings and, weeks later, causes a tornado.

The coronavirus is more like an earthquake, with aftershocks that will permanently reshape the world.

If we are lucky, the world will pass “peak virus” within the next six months. But the economy, governments, and social institutions will take years to recover in the best-case scenario. Indeed, rather than even speak of “recovery,” which implies a return to how things were, it would be wise to project what new direction civilization will take. That too will be a bumpy ride. The next 3-5 years will remind us that COVID-19 was the lightning before the thunder

Continue reading… “The coronavirus butterfly effect: Six predictions for a new world order”

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